I am working for a European Research Council project directed by Enrica De Cian - professor of Environmental economics at Ca’ Foscari University of Venice - which studies the dynamics of AC adoption and estimates their impacts for the next decades on the energy system, the climate, and society. Her studies focus especially on the cooling gap between different social strata in tropical developing countries with a growing middle class.
In Brazil, one of the case studies, currently only 30% of families own an AC unit, while the poorest layers of the population often experience dramatic thermal discomfort. In the next 20 years the number of households owning an AC unit is projected to rise up to 85%. As a consequence, household energy needs will increase by 50% in the same time frame, together with the related expenses, and emissions.
I recently traveled to Rio de Janeiro and Curitiba with Jacopo Crimi, the communication officer of the above-mentioned research project, to document the criticalities of the cooling issue among different social classes, interviewing experts working in sustainable architecture, to talk about thermal injustice and possible solutions aimed at contrasting it.